- Coronavirus’ impact on real estate search patterns [0:45]
- Three actions to take when facing adversity [4:30]
- Airbnb cuts 25% of staff [8:25]
- Don’t wait to start your second career in real estate [11:35]
- The key to converting real estate leads [14:25]
- Stuck in a sales slump? Here’s how to get more business [17:42]
- 6 Steps to 7 Figures with Pat Hiban [21:23]
- How to thrive through the next recession [25:34]
- How to break through your goals.
- Plus so much more.
- Get 6 Steps to 7 Figures by Pat Hiban for FREE
- Get Tribe of Millionaires by Pat Hiban and David Osborn for FREE
- State of the Market 46 with Trevor Mauch
- Episode 903 with Dan Rochon
- State of the Market 47 with Paul Morris
- Episode 904 with Kelly Skeval
- Episode 905 with Julian Colvard
- State of the Market 48 with David Greene
- State of the Market 49 with Pat Hiban
- Episode 906 with Karen Briscoe
Aaron Amuchastegui: Rockstar Nation. This is Aaron Amuchastegui. Hey, I
wanted to do a special podcast for you guys today. I’m looking back at May and
how many awesome people that we’ve had on the show. We thought we want to try
something new and try to jam-pack six or seven episodes into one little 20 or
30-minute episode, so you get the best bits and pieces from each show and see
if there’s a guest in there that you want to go back and listen to the whole
thing.
I hope you guys like it. It’s just 20 or 30 minutes.
You’re going to hear all the best stuff and get an idea of what you might be
missing out on if you haven’t heard our May podcast yet. Here we go. All right.
Let’s go listen to a few minutes of State Of The Market, number 46, more
of coronavirus impact on Real Estate Search Patterns.
Speaker 1: Most of our listeners have heard of Carrot, but for
the ones that haven’t tell us what Carrot is and how it came to be.
Trevor Mauch: Leading into, let’s say 2014, which is when Carrot
started. I had some other businesses in the past. I really learned how do you
attract really, really high-quality prospects online, the best ones. The ones
who are the most motivated. They are the highest margin clients. They convert
the fastest and the quickest and the easiest. How do you get in front of those
people? What I had found was, it was always this one method that works the best
for me, that was not a hamster wheel, that didn’t wear me out, that actually
built momentum over time. It actually got easier over time and more effective
over time and it was evergreen. I would do a marketing piece today and it’ll
still be working two, three, four years in advance.
It was always content. I would find out what my
prospects are searching for online. I’d find out what problems they have or
opportunities they’re looking for. I’d create a good piece of content. I put it
on a website that works well to get ranked in Google, and then I’d start to get
people landing on it like my ideal clients. I figured out how do you make them
convert into a lead, and that all became Carrot in 2014.
Today, we have just shy of 7,000 active real estate
agents, active real estate investors that we work with all across the country.
Generate just shy of 100,000 leads a month, organic leads is most of them. If
you were to search, sell my house fast, or any phrase like that, in any city in
the country, you’re probably going to find somewhere between three and eight
Carrot sites controlling page one in Google and pretty much every market in the
country.
Aaron: Tell us a bit about just what you’ve seen on the buyer side, the
sell-side statistics-wise.
Trevor Mauch: The stuff that’s interesting for right now with COVID
is this, so this is a screenshot from that pane that you just saw there. This
is as of today, this morning, I took this shot. This right here is when the
shelter in place or stay-at-home orders hit. You can see immediately there was
a little bit of a dip and then the next week a little bit more, and that lasted
for a couple of weeks. Right there, as soon as that hit, about a 10% dip in
traffic is what we saw.
Aaron: Sorry to interrupt for a second. If you guys are just listening on the
podcast, you’ll be able to see these slides on the YouTube page. If you’re one
of the few people driving in a car somewhere listening, or just listening to
it, so Trevor is showing on the screen sessions that are happening and it’s
like there’s one day of the week where a lot of people are searching and then
it starts to go down again. It seems like it hits that same day of the week
again, and everybody searches. What’s
that big day of the week that people are searching?
Trevor Mauch: Monday. Monday and Tuesday are almost always the
highest traffic pages on our clients’ websites. Social media traffic currently
in the past quarter or so converts about 2%. Now, paid search, just below that
1.86%. Organic search all a 5.34%. Almost three times higher conversion on
organic versus paid and social. You can get less traffic, less prospects, but convert
more and actually make more money with less work in the long-term by putting
content online that ranks well in Google.
If you’re adjusting your content, adjusting your
message, building authority, trust and credibility right now in your ads, in
your videos, on your homepage of your website, we’re finding that is increasing
conversion, while everyone else is just sitting there saying, “I’ll wait
this out, and hopefully, my click cost will go back down later.” You guys
get content out there, it’s making a difference right now.
Aaron: There was so much good info that Trevor just gave us today. One of the
great first points he made was there are more people that are interested in
selling their house now, that are actively searching saying, “Hey, I want
to sell my house now.” More people doing that today than the day before
the COVID outbreak craziness started.
Trevor Mauch: You guys keep tapping in Real Estate Rockstars. Follow
everything that they say. It’s an amazing community over there. Thanks, Aaron,
for letting me join the guests for a little bit.
Aaron: If you want to go hear the rest of that, go listen to State Of The
Market 46.
Aaron: Next, we’re going to have a few minute listen with Episode 903, my
interview with Dan Rochon, Three Actions to Take When Facing Adversity.
One of our questions, our pre-show question says if
you were on stage for how to succeed, what would the name of that panel be? I
thought it was great for what we’re going through right now. Your answer said
the three actions to take when facing adversity. Right now the world is facing
adversity, what are those three actions?
Dan Rochon: Well, first of all, it’s got to be your mindset. First
action is more of a being rather than an action. That’s understanding that,
however, we deal with this, it’s up to us. For some of us, we’re anxious. Some
of us, we’re scared. Some of us, we’re fearful. That’s okay. I appreciate that.
I respect that. Yet, what are you going to do in the face of fear. If you’re
experiencing fear, right, now, you have a choice of how you deal with that. You
can head into it, or you can be scared from it and take no action. That won’t
serve you very well.
First action would be really about how you’re being
and how you’re thinking. The second action would be to time block. When you
block your time you have discipline in there, you get freedom. I booked an hour
with my daughter from 12 to 1 every single day, as I mentioned. Well, guess
what? I’m spending that time with my daughter every single day. Now, when I’m
at work, I’m a 100% in work, and she knows that she’s not going to bother
daddy. That allows for me to be productive during the work hours. The second
thing would be time blocking.
The third thing would be take action and take massive
action. If you thought you had to take action before in a normal marketplace,
you got to take more today. You have to care for the people that you’re
reaching out to. Don’t get confused and sit there and say, “It’s all
about, hey, I just want to see how you’re doing”, because it is about that
and you have to be genuine with that. It’s also about making sure because there
are buyers and sellers out there, making sure that you’re not missing those
opportunities to be able to help somebody because you’re needed more than ever
before.
It is even more vital for you to be able to be
available for your buyers and sellers today because a buyer and seller they’re
going to be scared in a normal time, they’re going to be– Why is someone
buying or selling? It’s because they’re getting divorced, they’re getting
married, they’re having kids, they’re getting a new job, they’re getting
relocated. Whatever the case that be, they’re going to have that anxiety and
now you throw on all these other fears, they definitely need the services of an
agent today.
Aaron: If there’s a new agent just getting started right now, what advice
would you give them during this time? If somebody is trying to go be a listing
agent or trying to be a buyer’s agent. They feel they can’t really do– They
can’t go sit at open houses, they can’t go do the normal stuff. Any tips or ideas for a new agent on how
they can take advantage of this time?
Dan Rochon: There’s options. You could have a conversation. If
you’re a new agent, you may want to talk to a sales team in your organization
that’s already bringing in business, that can teach you how to service it. I’ve
always believed in sales team. I run a sales team. I’ve always believed that
the right sales of organization is something to consider. Now, I say that with
a disclaimer because there’s a lot of sales teams out there that are not
organized, that don’t have a lead generation department, they don’t have an
operations department, and then you as a sales agent should be in the sales
department. If you choose not to join a sales team then there’s some
inexpensive lead generation techniques like advertising on Facebook. You can
get some business right now, you can find some buyers right now for relatively
inexpensive.
Aaron: Yes. What are you guys doing for
lead gen right now?
Dan: Mostly calling our sphere, or our database, rather. I’ve got a database
of about 13,000 people in my database and there’s one or three people in there.
There’s either a sphere of influence or there is a real estate agent or there’s
somebody that, at one point, contacted the buyer, or the seller.
Aaron: All right. As a reminder, if you liked that little clip and you want to
hear the rest of it go listen to Episode 903 with Dan Rochon. All right, here
was a few minutes to State of the Markets 47, 2nd week in May Airbnb
cuts 25% of their staff. Go listen to a few minutes to this one.
There’s another slide on here that you got over there
it says, “Major financial institutions are calling for a V-shaped
recovery. How do you feel about that
slide?”
Dan: That’s why I’m glad that this slide is backed by Goldman Sachs, JP
Morgan, Morgan Stanley, and Wells Fargo because I’m not sure, to be honest.
These are the big boys and they’re the ones doing the hardcore analysis, and
it’s very interesting to note that these four giant institutions are really
expecting a V-shaped recovery.
To be clear, V-shaped is a precipitous fall, you hit a
point at the bottom and then you do a strong climb out. This is a chart that, I
think, that every realtor should have at their fingertips because it comes from
independent sources. I like the fact that it doesn’t come from National
Association of Realtors, it doesn’t come from the mortgage lending, people that
want you to believe that the skies are blue, even if they’re not.
The other thing about this chart, I know, Aaron said
it already, but this is a prediction of GDP. This is the entire economy. The
big guys think that by quarter four the entire economy will be back to normal,
which is pretty astounding.
Aaron: A bigger piece of news. Yesterday I had an email from Airbnb. I’m a
super host on Airbnb. You guys have heard me talk about it. I had a special
place in my heart out there. They made an announcement that they had to layoff
1900 of their 7500 employees. If you do the calculation that’s 25.01% of their
employees, and they said they also know things are going to look a little
different, so they’re going to be a more focused company now.
The interesting part about that that I thought was
just crazy was, it had this long letter that they sent out where they said,
“Here’s what we’re going to do for severance though. Employees in the US
will receive 14 weeks of base pay, plus one additional week for every year at
Airbnb. Tender will be rounded to the nearest year.” Most of that you
could say that’s good news, that’s actually you’re giving somebody
four-and-a-half months pay, five months pay and getting them a new job and
everything else like, “Wow, how grateful those people are going to be that
they worked in a company like Airbnb.”
The other side of this that scares me a little bit is
they’re giving away four to five months paid severance, and part of me says,
“Hey, if they thought this was going to be a V-shaped recovery, they would
just have people work for the next four or five months building out new things
and redoing stuff. That’s a lot.” I think in general when people pay
multi-month severance is they’re thinking it’s going to take about twice as
much to get that back. They think five months from now, it’s not going to be
much better, or they would have just kept everybody going and not paid them so
much for severance.
If you want to hear the rest of that interview go
check out State of The Market 47. All right. Let’s pause for a few
minutes now from Episode 904, Kelly Skeval.
Kelly: After I got started and was really having a lot of success and then
enjoying it, I said, “I should have started this earlier.” My husband
reminded me that earlier when I was younger, when we had just bought our first
property, I didn’t have the sphere of influence, I didn’t have the network that
I had built over that following seven or eight years. Although, I sometimes
think I wish I would have started earlier and I know it would have been
beneficial and I would have enjoyed it, I think, I took off so fast because I
had spent time cultivating relationships, building a sphere of influence, not
knowing how much it would benefit me once I finally became an agent.
Aaron: That is really good advice, too, because there’s people of all ages
starting in real estate. Some people are starting when they’re really young and
some people are starting as their third or fourth or fifth career, and they
could easily get discouraged to say, “I waited too long to get into real
estate. I shouldn’t get into real estate,” plus as being able to tell
people whatever they’ve done their whole life, the sphere that they’ve grown
their whole life, the network they’ve grown their whole life, they can use it
now.
What are some things that you’ve learned over the last
several years? Do you have any advice for people that for the first time
they’re working next to their kids, trying to fit it all in? What advice would
you give somebody?
Kelly: Yes. It’s different and it takes an adjustment. My biggest thing is to
just give yourself grace. It’s difficult, and it’s an adjustment for everybody.
I get up really early before the kids and get what I can done prior to them
getting up so that I can spend time with them once they get up. We watch
cartoons together every morning, and that’s when I drink my coffee with them.
In the busy season, especially, I will often put them to bed. My husband works
nights so he’s not home at night so then I put them to bed and go back to work
for three or four hours.
I always feed my kids first, too if I want to sit down
for a good chunk of time. [chuckles] I don’t know if you guys experienced this
but if their bellies are full I can usually get a good 20-minute chunk where I
can really bang out some work.
Aaron: That is so funny. It’s such a good point. I haven’t thought about that
but you’re right. You get them fed, you get them set and you’re going to [crosstalk]
that always slows everybody down, Giving yourself grace is such a great point.
My wife and we’ve homeschooled for a long time, we’ve worked from home for a
long time, and so many people right now are reaching out to her because of
homeschooling and her five-hour school week brand and say like, “Hey, what do we do?” Our
biggest thing right now is saying, “Just give yourself some grace. You
don’t have to be a perfect teacher, you don’t have to be a perfect anything.
It’s all about balancing that relationship right now with your kids and your
family.”.
All right, here comes a piece from Episode 905 with
Julian Colvart about there’s a key to converting real estate leads.
Julian: Typically I do 150 contacts a week, 600 a month of the social. I only
count the voice context, I don’t count social media context. If we were
counting the social media contexts it will go from 30 to 70 because I get about
40 contacts on social media because once I wake up from 6:30 to 7:30, all I’m
doing is sending out messages.
Aaron: One of the things you said there, Julian, is you are going to focus on
the stuff you can control. You said your goal right now isn’t necessarily how
many closings you’re going to get, but you can control how many people you call
per day. You can control how many DMs you send on social media. You’re saying,
‘Hey instead of setting your goals for what your production’s going to be,
you’re just going to set your goals on the things you can control. You’re going
to make sure that you talk to people, make sure you make the phone calls, you
reach out to people,” and then it’s all going to come out in the wash
anyway.
You’re going to reach out to those fisbos, you’re
going to call them in the morning and say, “Hey, do you need help selling
your house?” I love the statistic you talked about, too, of if they
actually meet you, there’s a better chance of getting them to hire you as their
agent. How does that phone call go?
What is your script for the guys that you called this morning that were the for
sale by owners because right now it’s coronavirus time.
Julian: “I see that your house is for sale. You’re selling on your own, I
totally respect that. Just wanted to know, would you be open to working with
agents that they can bring you a fully qualified buyer at this time.” They
say, “Yes, we will” “Okay, I want to be totally transparent. I’m
not calling you because I have a buyer. I’m not going to lie to you. I just want
to be here in case the house doesn’t sell and serve as the backup plan. I’m
going to be in the area tomorrow, previewing homes. I might as well stop by and
share some information with you, to cause the home to sales, some market
information and real lab up-to-date stats of what’s going on. I have a for sale
by owner backup plan that I could share with you as well. Just in case you want
to go that route if it makes the most sense for you.” They’ll say,
“No” and they give me some reason. I’ll just repeat what they say.
They say the exact same thing over again. [laughs] I’d probably do that two or
three times and they’re like– I always ask them, “You’re not going to do
anything unless it makes sense to you, right? And they’re, “Right.”
I’m like, “Okay, well, I’ll be over there. I’d be in that area. I could
probably stop by about 2:00 or 3:00 typically, work better for you. Just give
me a time and we’ll meet. Right now, it’s going, like, I don’t want to let
anybody out in the house at all, unless there are something to offer. I don’t
have to come over the house. I can share that through with you over the phone
or I would rather as much show it to you so you can have a better understanding
of what was going on. Do you have an Instagram or a Facebook? I can call you
through there. You can see exactly what I’m talking about.” Almost always,
they’d just say, “Yes, sure”
Aaron: Great tips there. Julian. Thanks for coming on the show, especially as
an avid listener, that’s listened to a couple hundred of our podcasts. I am
excited that you got to come on here today and share with the people out there.
Thanks for joining us.
Julian: Like I say, I have, this is a life milestone for me being all here.
[chuckles]
Aaron: Awesome. Check it off the bucket list, man. Thanks for showing up.
All right. If you liked that little hip, that was from
Julian Colvard. Remember, episode 905 on the Real Estate Rockstars
podcast. All right, here was a fun one, State of the Market 48 with
BiggerPockets podcast, host David Greene. Are you stuck in a sales slump?
There’s some ways to get more real estate business. Go have a listen. We did
have somebody email. Last time we were on here, we said, “Hey, if you need
help, send us an email.” There was a gal sent me an email just a couple of
days ago and she has hit a stopping block. She’s hit a rough patch. It’s been a
few months since she’s been able to get a listing. If you were doing really
good, but you’ve hit a stopping point like reassess. Have you experienced that much when it comes to real estate?
David Greene: Yes. What I did is in 2017, 2018, I remember listening
to Real Estate Rockstars and it hit me. We don’t need to do everything,
we hear everyone else say. We got to figure out the things we’re good at and
then figure out, “How do I amplify those things?” I just wasn’t going
to go door-knocking. I knew that that’s not my thing. Listening to people tell
me all the time, go door knocking wasn’t wise. What I did was I just pulled up
my Zillow and I looked at my past sales for that year. I made a little
spreadsheet and I put in the address, I put in the client’s name and how I met
them, that simple.
I went through and I noticed pretty much every single
client on that list, I either met them from an open house. They were in my
sphere, or they were a referral from another agent that I had met, usually at a
marketing thing or a networking event, some people I was speaking, I was
teaching people how to flip houses. These agents would meet me there. I
realized there’s three places I get leads from. What would happen if I just
tripled how often I do those things. If I did three times as many open houses,
if I went to three times as many events, and if I talked to my sphere three
times, as often as I do right now, that was so simple and scalable and doable,
but I didn’t feel overwhelmed. I can’t take action.
Aaron: Two months ago, there was no iBuyers. Now it says Zillow is wanting to
come back. The company is bringing on Regina Benjamin, the former US Surgeon
General to consult on and develop new safety protocols as it returns to
iBuying.
David: I don’t think it’s bad Zillow is doing this, I think, it’s smart that
they’re being responsible and they’re looking to how to make people feel safer.
I think for the people that are listening, you’re better off to understand that
the government can do very little to actually keep you safe from a virus that
they can’t control, that this is a part of what happens in the world. We have
pandemics like this, where a lot of people get sick and that you’re better off
to look at this and say, “Okay, there’s been a shift.”
As agents step ahead and say, “How do people feel
and how can I change my marketing strategies or the advice I give people to
capitalize on that shift?” This is good for business. When there’s a change
in the market, when there’s a change in strategies, it opens up doors for new
people. The iBuyers that every agent was talking about for the last two years,
“Oh, they’re going to change the industry. They’re stealing all of our
business.” They all dropped off the second, the market wasn’t rising. The
second that it wasn’t a guarantee that the market’s going to go up, iBuyers
dropped out. That’s not really a credible threat to our industry, but we were
so worried about it.
Changes like this are good for business in the sense
that the big dog, the big company that we feel we can’t compete with, their
whole model goes right out the window, as soon as this happens. You heard, I
think, Dave Osborne was on your show talking about that. I thought that that was
really good. Real estate is always going to be a relationship business. That is
your secret weapon. The relationship you have with the client, where you have
the opportunity to share information that’s coming out and give them a plan to
make them feel better, much like Zillow is trying to do. We can learn from
that. We should be doing the same thing in our own businesses.
Aaron: All right. That was just an excerpt from State of the Markets 48
with David Greene. If you liked what he had to say anyway, and you want to hear
the rest, go back and listen to that one. This one’s from State of the
Market 49. I did with Pat Hiban. He talked about 6 Steps to 7 Figures
and the coronavirus impact on commercial real estate. The thing that you said,
it was, don’t build from ground zero, get a little bit of a success and then
build on that success. [crosstalk]
Pat Hiban: Build up, build up, build up. It doesn’t matter for
real estate agent could be you sell a house to a teacher. Well, that should be
a success, and then you build from there. You’re like, “Hey, can you post
a brochure of the listing in your lunchroom, your teacher’s room?” Or
“Can I bring donuts to the teachers?” Or “How can I volunteer at
the school?” When you meet another teacher say, “Oh, I sold Sally a
house” “Oh, really, you sold Sally a house.” As soon as you sell
that second teacher, then you’d be like, “I sold Sally and I sold Margaret
a house, you know?” “Oh really? You did”
I did that with cops. I probably sold 30 cops houses
and stuff over the years. I always remembered their names. I don’t forget
people’s names so easily. I sold so many houses, but I would always remember
the cops because that’d be like, “I sold to Officer Thompson, Officer
Ledowski, and Officer Schmidt houses, do you know them?” They all know
each other. They at least say, “Yes.” It just made it so much easier
for them to use me right there. [crosstalk]
Aaron: drop names. They don’t even know and they’re like, “Yes.”
Pat Hiban: Right. It was instant credibility for me. You got to
think like that.
Aaron: We actually have the whole course inside Rebus, you could find it on
Hiban Digital. It’s about your 6 Steps book. You took your book and then you
built this whole course out over it. When
you go into your course, do people follow them in order? Do you need to do the
one six in order? Is there one that you have a favorite? How did you come up
with that?
Pat Hiban: I certainly like the last chapter, invest, because I
think that’s how– What enabled me to manifest the lifestyle that I have and it
makes me a little bit different than a lot of real estate agents who– A lot of
agents set goals and things like that, and track and stuff like that but very
few actually get out of the rat race like Robert Kiyosaki talks about. Very few
quit or retire, or with any money. Most of them retire with estate and federal
tax liens on their house or not much money in the bank, not much investments,
things like that.
I think that that makes me a little unique. That it,
yes, I was able to do real estate. I was able to succeed at real estate, but I
was also able to take those commissions. Reality is I would have never been
able to buy any houses or any forms of real estate, if I didn’t use real estate
commissions from sales to do it. I didn’t have another job. It was the selling
of the real estate that enabled me to buy investments, and then it was the
investments that enabled me to stop working and to not have to chase fisbos at
an older age, and to be beholden to sellers and buyers, who complained about
the same stuff you’ve heard a thousand times over. [laughs]
Aaron: That’s the biggest reason for people to look at your book, to read it,
to read your book, and take the course because it talks about how you built
this business during time, somewhat similar to what we might see over the next
few years. You hustle and you work and you invest. What that really did was put
you in a place where right now, a lot of our listeners out there are stressed
because they have less listings than they did, or they’re going to have to make
some pivots and things like that.
The biggest reason that right now, you’re not doing
the podcast anymore. You’re not doing all this other stuff is because you were
able to invest your way to a place where now you’re just stable and okay. You
can do whatever you want. That invest part is the critical part about saying
you don’t have to worry about how to do it.
As a reminder. If you want to go back and do the rest
of that episode, go check out State of the Market, number 49 with Pat
Hiban. Next step episode 906. This was how to thrive through the next recession
with Karen Briscoe.
Most people over the last year before coronavirus
happened has said, “Hey, we’re at a peak. Hey, this last forever. The
prices have gone up for a long time.” I think what everybody was failing
to see was what could cause this. Everybody said, “Hey, we’re at a peak,
but nothing’s slowing it down anytime soon.”
Did you hear much of that or feel that way?
Karen: Again, I thought it was going to be election-related. If you look back
at the last recessions, and it’s interesting, because some people– and I’m not
an economist, but some economists say the market was ready for a correction
that it found COVID-19 [chuckles] or COVID-19 found it. The market was ready
for a correction.
Aaron: It just needed a domino.
Karen: Yes. I would say that if you were going to like, “How do I predict
the future?” Well, the past performance is the best indicator of future
results, even though your [chuckles] financial advisor will say not to rely on
that.
That’s why the muscle memory of looking at what’s
happened in last recessions and how long these market cycles last, typically.
Really, truly nobody can predict the future but we do have signs and indicators
that we can look at.
One of the indicators is that when the market gets
completely out of balance one way or the other, I track supply and demand on a
quarterly basis for a market area. It was a tale of two markets, so in the
upper bracket, there’s plenty of supply and not as much demand. When you get
down into the more affordable brackets, there was a lot of demand and not a lot
of supply. When you have these scenarios, oftentimes, those are indicators that
something’s going to happen in the market to shift it. Just think about how
fast it shifted? [chuckles] Oh, my gosh.
Aaron: Do you think we’re going to see a price
correction like what we saw in 2001 or you think we’ll see a price correction,
like what we saw in 2007, or do you think that within a few months we’ll be
bouncing along?
Karen: I don’t feel we had a real estate price correction in a one. One was
the .com bust. People were impacted, but they weren’t impacted anywhere near [crosstalk]
What we experience in most of these markets is really a tight monetary, cash
flow lending guidelines becomes stricter, all that kind of thing which, of
course, we’re seeing that again right now. I think it’s really a combination of
two. The economic crisis of ’07, ’08, now, that was a housing and financial
market crash.
This is going to be an economic crisis, not
necessarily a housing crisis. What’s different about this is we don’t have any
supply. I say we, most market segments where there’s demand don’t have enough
supply. They were already going into that. The difference was in ’07, ’08, ’09
is supply kept increasing, and that’s why tracking the numbers on a quarterly
basis, I find to be the best way to know which direction the market’s going.
As a real estate professional, we live into the future
of the market. Appraisers look back, but we look into the future, we’re trying
to predict where the market’s going. When you’re tracking supply and demand,
you can see if it’s getting ready to shift over to either buyer’s market or a
seller’s market. What I see signs are, we’ll have less buyers but we also still
have less sellers, so I don’t think I see prices going down.
Aaron: Again, if you want to go back and listen to the rest of that one, you’re going to go look for Episode 906, How to Thrive through Next Recession with Karen Briscoe.