- THE book for new real estate agents [2:57]
- David’s advice for inexperienced agents [7:27]
- The W-2 mindset [8:01]
- How to get a great real estate mentor [10:19]
- What agents can learn from a doctor’s work ethic [17:16]
- David’s thoughts on Biden’s impact on real estate markets [20:48]
- The federal lawsuit to vacate the nationwide eviction ban [22:06]
- 1031 exchanges explained [24:12]
- Quick tips on investing in real estate [28:39]
- How a seemingly insignificant shift in interest rates can massively impact markets [30:05]
- What could cause iBuyers to go under [32:49]
- Why agents must be ready to accept change [39:01]
- Plus, so much more.
Related Links and Resources:
- Grow Your Real Estate Profits with Our Agent Success Toolbox
- Take Over $13,000 in Real Estate Courses for Just $97
- Enroll in Pat Hiban’s 6 Weeks to 7 Figures Course
- BiggerPockets Podcast
- SOLD: Every Real Estate Agent’s Guide to Building a Profitable Business by David Greene
- From Major Business Failure to Buying 20 Houses a Month With Aaron Amuchastegui: BiggerPockets Episode 325
- Post-COVID-19 Investing and Landing Great Deals at Auctions with David Osborn and Aaron Amuchastegui: BiggerPockets Episode 396
Aaron: Real estate Rockstars. Welcome back. As promised hopefully, you guys
listened to our last podcast. It was the first half of what I’m about to
finish. David Green and I had an awesome conversation. We spoke for about an
hour and a half about all sorts of stuff. There was so much good info in there.
We couldn’t stop recording but I also didn’t want to send you guys home with an
hour and a half long podcast. Here’s the second half of the podcast interview
with David Green. Here we go.
Really cool to see what you’ve been doing and what
you’ve been building. I always love giving the plug of that as you started as
an agent, you were listening to so much of the podcast and you heard fun tips
on the podcast that you ended up using. I love it. When I first met you, you
were still working full-time as an officer and real estate was like, you were
already a more successful real estate investor and it’s more scuffled real
estate agent than a lot of real estate investors and agents I had known but it
was like your side job. You were doing it at night and on the weekends while
you were a police officer and now just to think about what you guys have done.
We mentioned to one of the co-hosts of my second
favorite podcast in the whole world for real estate agents, you and Brandon
Turner hosts the BiggerPockets podcast. Just through that, getting to see how
many lives that you’ve continued to change with that. I guess now, you’ve taken
so much of this stuff that you’ve learned. You’ve redone the system and it took
you a few years to get that system. Now that you’re one of the first people
I’ve heard talk about that idea of working the agents through, by the time
they’re ready, they’re really ready. They’re off to the races. Now you have a
book coming out in January. That’s going to be published with BiggerPockets as
well. You’ve been working on that for a while. You’re going to do a few books?
David: Yes.
Aaron: As part of that real estate agent release.
David: I basically wanted to write a book that taught people how to be a real
estate agent because there’s not many of them. Like I said, there’s a big
mentor gap.
Aaron: You’re a mentor now.
David: Not everybody in the world can come work on my team. I took everything
that I was teaching the agents on my team and I put it in book format and said,
“Hey, this is why people need to know about real estate. By the time I was
done, it was about four books long. It was like the Bible. BiggerPockets
publishing had me break it into three different parts. Now we’ve taken this
book which is basically new agents or inexperienced. They’re not doing a lot of
deals. It’s called sold. Every real estate in this guide to building a
profitable business. These is all the things that nobody tells you when you get
started but you still need to know.
We’re talking about things like what to do in your
first 30 days? What car you should drive or not drive? How to write up an
offer? What the escrow process actually is? It’s amazing to me how many people
have been agents for two years but they sell two houses a year and they don’t know
what goes on in the escrow process. It totally shows up in your confidence.
You’re not going to pitch yourself to the person you’re buying a car from. If
you know in the back of your head, I don’t even know what happens in the escrow
process. Typically they’re waiting for someone else to come teach them and that
person never shows up.
This book is like the granular details. When your
client says X, you say Y, here’s a script. Say it just like this because
there’s a really big difference between, “Hey, bad news. We got an offer
and it’s really low, sorry.” Versus, “Hey, great news. We got an
offer on your property and we have some areas where we can counter it. Would
you like to go over it?” Like no one told me that I made that mistake many,
many times. This first book is designed for, “Hey, you want to get to the
next level, keep listening to these podcasts, read this book, do this stuff.
That’s in it.”
The second book will be, this is how you become a top
producer. This is what the top agents in every market do that you’re not doing.
This is how they do it. This is the knowledge they have that you didn’t have.
Don’t wait till you sell 100 houses before you learn this, get it in the book.
The third book will be how to be at what I call a rock star which is basically
what I’m doing right now, which is putting a team of people around me. I’m
working all these deals but I’m doing 1% of the work while the rest of the team
does 99. As they do 99% of the work, they get 100% experience that they didn’t
have now, as they grow, I can lead them into regenerating and building their
business that way.
Aaron: How to be a Rockstar book, if I don’t get to help be your
publisher on that one for real estate right now is you’ve got quite the
publisher that you get to work with already. I love the whole spirit at the
beginning. If someone can come work for you. Listeners, if you guys can go join
the David Green team out in Northern California, then you don’t need to buy the
book. If you’re somewhere else in the world and you can not join the team and
get to learn, he’s saying what he is doing that he has now built his team is
going to be in the new book.
If you guys go follow it, we’ll have some links in the
show notes for this, the book isn’t quite out yet as this comes out. It’s just
going to be out in a few weeks but go follow David on social media. I see how
interactive he is out there. I’m sure that the day that launches it’s to be on
the Bigger Pockets page. It’s going to be [crosstalk].
David: Well you can pre-order it now.
Aaron: Oh, you can?
David: Yes. Biggerpockets.com/new books.
Aaron: All right, I [crosstalk] my mouth. I almost killed all your chances of
a sale today thinking that– You can do it now?
David: Yes. I would say if you know or love a real estate agent that is not
doing as good as they want to be doing but even if you are doing good, get them
the book. For the people that are not rock stars, there’s a lot of shame in our
industry because we’re expected to do good. We’re supposed to be wealthy and
doing well. We’re supposed to know everything. There’s very little training. I
feel like had I had a book like this when I got started I’d have avoided
beating myself up quite a bit, which a lot of people do.
Aaron: You’re totally right. I went to the BiggerPockets site, Sold: Every
Real Estate Agent’s Guide to Building a Profitable Business by David Green.
It does say currently available for pre-order. You can buy it as a late early
Christmas present for somebody. You can tell them that it’s coming. I like the
idea. It is interesting in the industry. People that are successful love
teaching people that aren’t. They love teaching people that are new but new
people really struggle with saying, “I knew.” They really struggle
with saying, “I need help.”
What else would you tell people like that? That still get nervous. I know
that’s a sidetrack but what do you think about that?
David: Well, the answer is you have to humble yourself enough to go find a
person that you work underneath and do all their work that they don’t want to
do and don’t expect anything in return other than knowledge. One of the things
that I talk about a lot is it’s sad that we lost the Apprenticeship Program or
the apprenticeship mindset that we used to have, where you work directly
underneath someone and they guided and they molded you. They really helped you
build a skill set that was strong. Then you went out into the world and you
succeeded. It takes delayed gratification to work that way. We don’t have a lot
of that.
Part of what I believe is a problem for new agents in
the industry. If you’re a new agent, just hear me out here is we have the W-2
mindset. In a W-2 position you are for almost every single role I know of in
any company, you’re cleaning a fish that somebody else caught in some capacity.
If your first job was at a McDonald’s, you’re standing at the register punching
in the order of a guest that came into you. McDonald’s did all the work of
getting that person in the door, running a marketing campaign, like the person
who’s working in the restaurant, they think that the whole aspect of McDonald’s
is either making the fry, making the burger, working the register.
That’s like 5% of that company, the other 95% they
never see. That’s the people who are deciding, what are we going to charge for
this? How are we going to partner with certain people? Where are we going to
get our supplies from? How are we going to make a training manual? What kind of
marketing are we going to do? Where are we going to air? There’s a ton of
business that you don’t see when you just work in the W-2 position. The problem
is because you only see the tip of the iceberg, that little 5% you think that’s
all there is. You start to develop really bad habits where you think showing up
at work is all you’re supposed to do. I’m here. I deserve to get paid.
When you get out of a W-2 world and you get into the
1099 world or the entrepreneur world, whatever you want to call it, I know
Aaron, you know where I’m going with this.
It kills you if you have that attitude that someone else
is supposed to bring you the business. No one comes to you and says, “I
got a great deal on a house. Do you want to flip it in the real world.”
You got to go look for that. You’ve got to go fight for that. You got to go
compete with the other person that is trying to flip a house. You got to be
better at what you’re doing.
When you become a real estate agent, that’s the world
you’re walking into. You’re not a waiter at a restaurant that waits for a
hostess to literally bring a table to your section and sit them right in front
of you. You got to go out there into the world, find that person, convince them
to eat at your restaurant and then do all the job of serving them. New agents
that are struggling, that are afraid to ask for help. That’s a big reason why.
They’re still expecting their phone to ring, their email to come. Where do you
go to find the leads? They haven’t embraced it. This is like the Wild Wild West
and you got to go get them. What I think the best thing anyone can do is go
find an experienced agent and say, “What do you hate the most?”
Everyone has their own thing. I hate paperwork. I hate organization. I hate
follow-up. I hate putting information into the MLS when I have a listing, I
hate putting out my open house signs.
There’s something that they don’t like. Say,
“I’ll do it for you for free. All I ask you to do is teach me.” Do as
good of a job as you possibly can for that person and your goal is to make them
say, “I never could have done it without Bobby. I never could have done–
Jenny is so useful. I wouldn’t and go back to ever not having her.” When
you get there you say, “What else do you hate to do?” “I really
hate having to schedule my own showings.” “Boom. I’ll do it. Now that
I’ve scheduled it, what’s your email. Let me put it in your calendar for you.
What information do you need put in there? Let me do
that for you.” Just do that for them. Now they’re like, “I couldn’t
live without this person.” “Hey, do you think I could go with you on
a showing? Can I see how you do it? Can I see what you say? Show me your
process.” Now you’re getting free training from that person. Eventually,
it’s going to be, “Hey, I’m busy. I can’t go show it. I double-booked
myself. Can you just go do it on your own?” Now you’ve worked yourself
into being a buyer’s agent. There are so many opportunities available for the
newer agents who are struggling to make themselves valuable to somebody else
and learn the business from them.
They don’t think that way because you never have to do
that in a W-2 job. In a W-2 job, your goal is to avoid doing work. I’m here,
I’m getting paid. How do I figure out a way to make somebody else do the work?
It doesn’t translate at all when you get into this kind of an industry.
Aaron: The W-2 lifestyle is different. I’ve never heard someone say having a
W-2 job is like cleaning a fish someone else caught, but that is. A lot of our
listeners are new agents that were coming from W-2. Others who’ve been agents
for a long time, but they know, but they’ve experienced this with their new
hires and the new people joining their team. That’s a great mindset shift to be
able to, because they don’t realize that. Because as people are cleaning the
fish, someone else caught a lot of times they’re like, “Man, I’m doing all
the work.”
David:That’s exactly what they say.
Aaron: I’m the only one cleaning fish. I should be making all the money. I’m
the only one cleaning fish. He’s doing nothing.
David: That’s the same thing. That’s why I give the example of, you’ve only
seen 5% of what the work is. It feels like you’re doing all the work when
you’re doing 5%, and I hear that all the time. “Why would I give up half
my commission if I’m doing all the work?” The answer is you’re not, you
didn’t do the work to get that lead. You didn’t do the work to build the brand.
You didn’t create the systems that you’re using. You didn’t train yourself how
to do this. It’s a very small percentage of the work that happens once that
fish is in the boat. Getting the fish in the boat is the hardest part.
I feel like that mindset is toxic to being successful.
That’s one of the things I talk about in the book is that your biggest enemy is
showing up at work and thinking, sitting at your cubicle, and opening your
email counts as work. Because it doesn’t, you’re actually losing money every
day you go to work as an agent, you’re paying licensing fees, MLS fees, office
fees, national association, your state association, your local association,
your MLS key. You’re paying money every day and if you didn’t get a client, you
lost money that day. There has to be a sense of urgency of how do I get a fish
in the boat.
If you don’t know how to fish, the best thing you can
do is get in the boat with someone that does know how to fish and say,
“Can I bait your hook? Can I help? Can I learn with what you’re doing?
Well, you got a fish on the line. Can I try to reel it in? Can I help
you?” The fish are all caught, I’m going to clean them all. I’m going to
gas up the boat. I’m going to clean it for you. If you took that attitude, the
people that are catching a lot of fish would love to partner with you. I really
think that if someone honestly wanted to make it in this business, there’s
nothing that would stop them if they took that approach.
Aaron: I remember it was my third year in college, I had moved from Oregon
down to California. I was an out-of-state resident. I was paying a crazy amount
of money for my tuition. I was old enough that my parents weren’t paying for
me, but not so old that it was paid for by myself. I think it came down to
every time I went into a class, it was costing me $200 bucks. When I would go
in, I would tell myself, and I went back when I was a little older. I was older
than your average student. I was like 23, 24. It helped me have that mindset
because the money meant something.
I knew whenever I went into class I was paying a
couple of hundred bucks for that hour. What was I going to learn that day that
was going to be worth it? I remember being on the hunt. As I was listening and
paying attention and taking notes and I was studying construction management
and real estate development. I knew I was very focused on this was my career.
The things I learn today are going to help me in my career. Not every single
class, but most of the time before the end of the class, I’d say, “Okay,
that’s the thing. That’s the thing I just paid $200 to learn.”
Now only it took him one minute to tell me that but it
was 59 minutes of the other stuff that we didn’t necessarily need to know and
then knowing it forever. If we’re honest, too, even the systems that you’ve come
up with in your office, there are hundreds of people have impacted that. When
people are like, it’s not only the guy cleaning the fish didn’t come up with
the system. You came up with a system after studying dozens of people. They
came up with it after studying dozens of people and it’s getting better every
year.
Every couple of years the industry is continuing to
get better and better. There’s no industry like real estate. I can’t think of
another one where people can go get a license without a college degree and they
could go learn from somebody else for free and a year or two later be getting a
ton of deals.
David: It’s really sickening.
David: It is sickening. There’s an example I use in the book where I’m
comparing it to being a doctor and our buddy Daniel Del Rio was the first
person who really brought this up. He said, “David, how long do you think
it takes a doctor before they’re ready to start working?” I believe it was
eight years of education, maybe 10 plus another two years of residency. You’re
at like 10 to 12 years. Aaron, what would you guess the average doctor’s
student loans are after medical school in
Aaron: Oh, man, you’re talking 10 years. If I was just going to do simple
math, it’d be like two or $300,000 bucks, right?
David: You owe $300,000 and you had to give up 10 to 12 years of your life
before you started making any money. Then you have non-stop stress of, did I
kill somebody today? Did I make a mistake? You’re working 12 hours in a
hospital. You’re getting held over longer. You’re dealing with insurance
headaches. It’s a tough life being a doctor and that’s a job that is considered
extremely prestigious in our country. If someone said, “Hey, you want to
go to medical school and be a doctor?” Almost everyone would say,
“Yep, I’ll do that. They make great money. I want to go do it.” Let’s
say what do you think a doctor makes in a year? The average doctor.
Aaron: I don’t know. I have to imagine they make a couple of hundred thousand
a year, at least maybe a few hundred thousand a year.
David: It was around $212,000, but in certain markets, it’s going to be
higher, obviously like in California. Let’s say
Aaron: Certain specialties or whatever.
David: There you go, $300,000, but if you have their student loan debt to what
they had to take on what they’re paying that back, that’s significantly less
than 300,000. If you add onto the fact, they didn’t get to make that for 10
years of their life. That ends up your first year that you made 30,000 divide
that by 10 that’s like $30,000 a year. That’s not that good of money. You have
to be a doctor for a very long time before you actually start to see an
increase. Now, compare this to being an agent. Zero debt, you just study and
get a license and you could be working in four to six months.
If you got to go a couple years apprenticing under
somebody else, but you approach it as if this was a medical school with that
much vigor and I’m going to take my job that serious. I’m going to study the
heck out of everything that I’m doing, and I’m going to treat this like this
person could die if I didn’t do a good job,. Do you know how quickly you could
get to where you’re making $300,000 [crosstalk] by how sickening it is. For
what we do compared to other things it’s almost limitless. It’s just the wrong
attitude and the wrong mindset that people have getting into it.
Aaron: Yes, if you can work hard and stay the course and learn it. One of the
episodes that got published right before this one with David was a guy talking
about making phone calls 10 to 12 hours a day, every single day and six months
into it, he got his first deal. His first deal was a short sale too, it wasn’t
even an easy deal. It was back like, “Okay, you are upside down, but you’re
my first listing lead. Let’s see if we can short sale your house.” I know
my parents would have been much more proud to be able to say their son was a
doctor instead of a house flipper, but there is nothing quite real estate for
the opportunities that it can provide.
Also how quick people can learn, that’s one of the
favorite parts about this podcast and what we get to teach people– Well, I
know you and I can always talk forever. Before we jump off, I want to talk a
little bit about some real estate news that’s out there. See, we had an
election, most of the news places will say, “The election’s over, and then
in a month, we’re going to have a new president in. Looks like the Senate is
going to stay around the same.” There’s been a lot of news of, will taxes
change not? Will real estate change not? Have you even studied up on much
there?
David: I’m not the biggest politic guy and I know that a lot of this depends
on how the House and the Senate shape up. I’m not up-to-date with how that’s
looking. I know it’s still-
Aaron: That’s true. That is still up in the air for sure.
David: –Until we know what happens there, it’s hard to tell how much, because
it’s pretty safe to say that President Biden, isn’t going to be lowering taxes.
They’re probably going to be going up or [crosstalk] best-case scenario staying
the same. He’s also mentioned things like, he wants to get rid of the 1031
like-kind exchange. If that’s the case, there’s probably several other tax
loopholes for lack of a better phrase, that he’s going to want to eliminate.
I’ve spent the last couple of weeks talking to
different CPAs, trying to get an idea on all the different possible avenues of
where this could go. If they do, how to prepare for it. I also live in
California, which is a rough state to live in, if you don’t want to be paying
taxes.
Aaron: If you don’t like paying taxes, you live in the wrong state brother.
David: That’s exactly right.
Aaron: This was a really interesting article that was published yesterday. It
says, “Alabama and Georgia realtors sued the Trump administration over the
unconstitutional eviction ban.” You and I, last time we talked, we talked
about the CDC eviction ban. I said, we had, had some residents that had filled
out the form that said, if I get evicted, I’ll be homeless. I have a better
chance of catching COVID. It’s all there to put on the CDC form and all
evictions, even though, I haven’t paid rent in four months get postponed to
January.
It says, the trade groups alleged the CDC moratorium
unilaterally shifted billions of dollars in economic burdens from one group of
Americans to others landlords. The Georgia Associates Realtors have filed a
federal lawsuit, to have the court vacate a nationwide eviction ban. That would
be a big deal if that goes through. The ban is supposed to expire December
31st. I think the reason they’re still doing the lawsuit right now, because you
would almost say like, “Hey, it’s almost over,” but they’re trying
to– One of the talks of the new stimulus was, they were going to extend it
another year. If they were going to get a stimulus assigned, that was what was
proposed in it.
Trump was against extending it a year at the time.
Now, who knows what that’ll happen? What do you think about, it’s interesting
to see realtors sue– That someone submitting a lawsuit to try to push back on
some of the new stuff. I think it’s really interesting. It’s as it pushes
unilaterally shifted billions of dollars from one group of Americans to
another, very pro-renter, very anti-landlord, but landlords are people too.
Most landlords only own one house, like BiggerPockets is the landlord investor
podcast. Do you have any thoughts about
that? Is it shifting burden from one group to another?
David: It is, yes, there’s no arguing that, but I would say it’s probably
going to continue to shift in that direction. I wouldn’t think that with the
current way that it looks like with president Biden winning, you should
probably expect to see more of that type of thing. Some of the ways that have
benefited agents in particular have a lot to do with real estate investing and
we don’t always realize that. Let’s take the 1031, like-kind exchange, for
example, that is a provision in the IRS code, Section 1031, that allows you to
sell an investment property and replace it with another investment property.
That’s like in nature and with certain rules in place, avoid paying the capital
gains tax when you sold it, that made money.
When you sell stocks, let’s say you made $20,000 in a
year, overstocks, you sold, you would get taxed at the short-term capital gains
rate on that gain. Real estate is a easy way that they could go after people
and say, “Hey, you got to pay us because you sold the property,” but
smart politicians understood, if you tax people, they’re not going to sell it.
If you let them sell it and then roll it into another property, you’re not
actually avoiding the taxes, you’re deferring them. We’re going to let that
snowball grow big so that when we do actually get taxes on it, it’s a way
bigger amount than every time that snowball turns, we take a bunch of chunk of
snow out of it. It never really grows big.
If that’s taken away, it’s not going to lead to a lot
of people paying taxes that they normally wouldn’t have paid. The guys you and
I know Aaron, they’re not going to sell their property. If they’re going to get
taxed at 30%, 40%, 45% of whatever it was, they’re going to hold it and they’re
going to refinance it. If you’re an agent, there’s a lot of deals that you’re
selling, because it was in the person’s best interest to go sell it and buy
another one. That’s four different agents that all got paid when somebody sells
a house and buys another house.
There’s also two loan officers, they got paid in most
cases, when that happens. There’s also all the employees that work for the
agents and work for the loan officers. There’s also two different title
companies that were paid. There’s two different home warranty companies that
made money. There’s a possible contractors on each of those deals that went in
there, handymen that made money. There’s home inspectors, there’s appraisers.
There’s a ton of people that work in our business that only get paid when
properties change hands.
That’s what I’m trying to point out here. When people
sell less, it doesn’t just affect that human being, right off the bat who owned
the property as in they have to pay higher taxes. It’s all those other people
that I just mentioned that now make less income because the property didn’t
change hands. That’s something that I wanted to point out if things like that
happen, it’s going to affect our industry pretty significantly.
Aaron: It’s such a good point that every law that happens, that’s anti
transaction, that postpones transaction that just decreases demand a little
bit. It’s like when interest rates go up a little bit, demand decreases a
little bit, a few less transactions will happen, but when a few less
transactions happen, it affects a lot of people. I’d be curious to see how many
people did 1031 exchanges last year. You get to see how many people that can
affect along the way, but it’s a big deal. It is.
You’ve seen that meme that said that it was a
resident, a tenant reading their rent increase and said, “Wait, I voted
for increased taxes on my landlord, but not to increase my rent,” but
realizing that everything flows downhill. If you get rid of 1031 exchanges, so
that means people have to pay more tax. They just won’t do the transactions and
everybody else doesn’t get paid from that. The home inspector that was making
$400 on that, now he makes 5,000 less this year because there’s no 1031
exchanges.
David: We lose income tax on all that money that people used to make. It’s not
just, “Oh, we’re going to gain 1031.”
Aaron: That’s the ultimate analysis, to go, “Hey, by eliminating 1031,
we’re going to bring back this many billion in tax money,” but in reality,
maybe they aren’t, because-
David: They may be bringing less money
Aaron: -they’re going to bring in less money as a net.
David: We need to be ready for that as agents to understand that a lot of the
things that have fueled a really good market for us could be going away.
Interest rates have just gone down and down and down. Tons of people have been
refinancing, tons of people have been buying as interest rates go down. The
value of houses go up, people are more likely to have a transaction that
changes hands.
Hey, if I can sell my house, it’s now worth more
because rates went down, for more money and I get to buy my new house at a
lower interest rate. That makes sense, I’m going to do it. A lot of these
transactions happen. All it takes is one little switch where, “Hey, I have
a 3.5% rate and rates went up to 5% or 6%.” Now my house is worth less
because it’s more expensive to own it and I got to I lose my 3.5 to go get a 6,
I’m not going to do that, but it can really lock up a market hard.
There’s a few things that I’m looking at assuming that
that could happen. Save your money, you need to be showtime mindset when
there’s an opportunity to make money. You can’t assume it’s always going to be
there. You need to be a more balanced for real estate person. I’m an agent, but
I’m also an investor. I don’t worry about the market turning around, I just
know at some point it’s going to happen.
I’ll just change my strategy. I’m just going to go buy
rental property. I’m going to go buy properties because I can buy them with
less money down. I’ll benefit from real estate in a different way. That’s
another area of agents are hearing this and they’re getting scared. You’re only
scared because you don’t have a plan for option B. Start putting a plan in
place for option B and you could see opportunity there,
Aaron: Right. That could be just encouraging your seller. Your seller that was
going to sell a 1031 to say, “Hey, you need a refinance right now with
that low rate, and now go buy another property.” Now, instead of selling
it and getting it, because of the new low rates, by cashing out your equity,
you can essentially sell it to yourself without having it by refinancing it.
That’s going to be one of those changes. There’s going to be every time a new
law comes out, finding that loophole. You’re talking about just one little
shift. I just pulled up that chart for interest rates over time.
I remember back in looks like the end of 2004
beginning of 2005 when interest rates first started tick up. I was working for
a home builder in Southern California. We were like living the best life ever.
We were golfing a couple of days a week. The houses were building themselves as
soon as we built it prices are going up all the time. I remember the first time
when my boss Nikki came in and said, “Hey, the FED just increased rates.” It
was the first time in years they had increased rates and that was the beginning
of the end. They just increase the rate a quarter of a point, but that’s what
started that whole downfall.
That was the first time where all of a sudden it took
like 12 months for prices to peak but that was the moment where the momentum
changed directions and it was just from that shift of a quarter-point. You get
to see that chart and interest rates went up up up. They started coming down
again in 2008 and 2009 was the beginning of the recovery as it goes. Could be
one little decision that article talked about non-institutional investors
owning 72%of rental properties.
A lot of times when people think that they are
sticking it to the man. The CDC thing or the 1031 thing, you agents know this.
Your clients your people out there they don’t own 50 houses 100 houses most of
the known a couple. As these laws fix them people are out there start figuring
out that back-up plan on how you can replace a business and replace an income
stream. There’s always other acquisitions going on right now with CoStar, and
there’s different things in the news and maybe that’ll have to be next week’s
state of the market. We go into some of those acquisitions are happening.
I saw an article that said iBuyers are in the third
quarter their deals went down 80 or 90%. iBuyers were second quarter of the year
there were so many iBuyers transacting but now third quarter 2020 that iBuyer
transactions were way way down. Now, I would guess that that’s because the
market is so hot that people have realized that well, I can actually hire an
agent. It’s almost like people used to go to iBuyers because they were worried
they’d have to fix up their house to sell it but now the market is so hot. You
can list a house on the market on MLS that’s in crappy condition and get an
offer.
There may be more people who were like, “You know what
my agent told me that I can list it like this. I will just leave and even
listed with pictures. Will do a virtual walkthrough with the phone.” Any other
thoughts on– It’s not that surprising to me. Was it surprising to you to see the iBuyers are losing so much market
share?
David: No, I think when you and Dave were on our podcast, we talked a little
bit about the iBuyer thing and my expectation for that niche is that there’s a
lot of models that work when the tide is rising. I remember when I was a lot
younger in ’02, ’03, maybe more like ’04, ’05, there was this company Help You
Sell companies like that. That would say we’re a flat-fee brokerage will just
charge $3,000, which may be by today’s money is like $6,000 $7,000 to sell your
house no commission-based, and the market was so red hot. It didn’t matter who
your agent was people were going to go by your house.
I remember just seeing these Help You Sell signs all
over the place and then ’09, 2010 came and I never saw one again. That company
went bankrupt or just became nothing because it became hard to sell a house.
The tide wasn’t going up making you think that you were doing better. I’m not
going to name any names but there are a lot of brokerages and real estate
models that are doing well right now because houses are selling themselves.
There’s very low inventory. There’s very low rates everybody wants a house
because they don’t want to live in a townhouse or condo or an apartment when
COVID is making them shelter in place.
There’s a lot of things that are fueling it makes
sense to go buy real estate. The iBuyer program is one of those things that
benefits when everything looks great. They can go right an aggressive offer as
long as prices keep going up. They’re going to be fine. What happens to those
iBuyer programs the minute prices either stagnate or start to go down? What
happens to a lot of these companies that are selling agents some service that
they no longer need when it’s hard to sell real estate? Or the Help You Sells
of the world that say, “We are the cheapest so go with us.”
It’s great when it’s easy to sell houses. The second
it becomes hard and you actually need training. You need someone to hold you
accountable you need an office to meet with people face-to-face a lot of these
trendy things that are working right now won’t be working. I expect a lot of
those companies to go under. Part of being in the 1099 mindset, is never
assuming it’s always going to be fine. Someone’s always going to walk through
that door. I’m always going to get that paycheck that’s a W-2 thing. When your
1099 you’re always expecting it’s going to change how I’m I going to be
prepared for that to happen?
Aaron: Yes, and we did talk a lot about that. When the market’s easy
everybody’s a good investor everybody’s a good agent every system is out there.
I recently bought a house out of foreclosure auction and just listed on the
market as is like blue tape still on it. It was still winterized it broke all
of my rules because I was trying to see just how crazy the market was. My rule
used to be no signs of foreclosure. One of our checklists was you have to use
the sticker on the front door of all the foreclosures in the windows saying
like, “Hey, this has been winterized.”
We just left all that stuff to say like, “Hey, what
will happen with this market will we get offers?” We still got offers right
away. That is something that can only happen now. It was like not bringing my
A-game. It was like bringing my C-minus D-game just as an experiment to see
just how crazy the market has been. Right now market’s hot so a lot of the
stuff does sell themselves, but as a buyer’s agent, you got to work a lot
harder to get the deal done. We also made a full-price cash offer on a house
today the moment it got listed and got an email an hour later that said sorry
we did not accept your offer.
I said, “What? Man, I’m not used to that.” I’m not the
blind bid guy so really interesting time but we did. There was a couple of
times I was on the BiggerPockets podcast. If you guys want to learn more about
me, we’ve actually heard that on some of the reviews of who’s Aaron. How did he
get here? Why is Aaron hosting the show now?
David: He doesn’t sound like Pat.
Aaron: Why did Pat hand the reins over to Aaron? Who is this guy? He’s not as
handsome his voice is not as good. You can go learn more about me if you go to
listen to BiggerPockets podcasts 396 that was the second one I was on. I think
the first time I was on was a year ago with you and Brandon, let me see if I
can figure out when that one was.
David: While you’re looking, I’ll just tell everyone here if you don’t know
who Aaron is he is as close to the Dos Equis man as you’re going to find
outside of the commercial.
[laughter]
Aaron: I think when we were on this is the most interesting man in the world.
Well, now when I search my name on BiggerPockets, I see my book on there on the
author page and I can’t find my old ones. I know it’s on there somewhere but
the most recent one is 396. There’s also another one I did a year ago too good.
The other one was 325 so BiggerPockets 325 BiggerPockets 396 you learn a little
bit about me to the side if you should be listening to me as a host or not. I
know you should be listening to David Green super successful real estate agent.
I’m always so happy when I get to have you on here as
soon as we finish. I’m always like go book another one. Let’s get another show
on the books so we can come back and be talking to the beginning of the year
especially when your book is out. Beginning of the year, we have a whole bunch
of news to talk about in the world a whole bunch of topics as administration
starts changing. You’re a great guy to be thinking about what is the pivot
going to be. I think as laws change I want to have you on here just so we
should be talking about possible pivots.
When they take away 1031 outs refined find something
else when they take whatever is getting taken away next. If the CDC does get
extended a year and the eviction ban happens for a year and those in the real
estate agents lose that lawsuit how will we treat that? That’s what we talked
about last time it was what to do if your tenants have sent you that CDC from
how to actually do that. David always a pleasure to talk to you and I could
always talk forever. For you, listeners that have listened thank you for
listening to David and I talk today.
Go find him on Instagram you go listen to him on the
BiggerPockets podcast. You can go get his book. I am going to get his book for
a lot of people as a gift. I love the idea of going and getting that book as a
gift to a new agent. It’s almost like a congratulations. Somebody goes, “Hey, I
just got my license. I’m starting this.” All right cool. Here’s a book from a
guy that I respect. He can teach you a lot about being an agent, especially in
your first year. David, any final thoughts anything else you want to tell
people?
David: Thank you for that, Aaron. I would say we don’t know what the pivots
going to be but we do know there’s a very high chance we’re going to have to
pivot. If you don’t know the actual tactics, you’re going to use start warming
up so that when it’s time to stretch you’re ready to go. Just mentally accept
the business is going to change the industry is going to change what worked
yesterday might not work the same tomorrow. I’m okay with that. I’m a 1099. I
move with the market. I like to use a lot of sports analogy when it comes to
business because they’re very similar.
If you’re a team that’s doing really good a football
team throwing the ball and the opponent start to figure that out and put a lot
of players back to stop you or maybe a lot of fast guys on their defense to
keep your receivers from getting open you got to be ready to run the ball. Those
skinny guys that are fast don’t tackle as well. As long as you take that
approach that I always have to make adjustments you’ll fall in love with our
business. It’s when you’re in that W-2 mindset that says, I just want to do the
same thing all the time and I get angry when there’s change that you start to
not like the business, and then it gets tougher to talk to clients overall,
you’re just not as happy of a person. This is an awesome podcast to listen to,
to stay aware of what’s going on. You can always work on your mindset, even if
you don’t know what’s going on so that when the change comes, you’re ready to
rock.
Aaron: There is nothing I’m going to be able to add to that such a great point
though. The only thing that is certain is stuff will change and when stuff does
change, there’s a lot of grief in that. There was a lot of grief when I
realized I wasn’t going to be able to take my daughter to New York for her
birthday. For the birthday, she had planned to go to Broadway forever and this
year, it was not. There’s grief in change and having to accept change but if we
can start accepting now, that our world is changing faster than it ever has. Who knows what’s going to happen in
January, February?
But if we mentally prep ourselves that hey, it’s not
going to be like that our life is going to be different in January, it’s going
to be different in March, better or worse, whatever, if we prep ourselves, that
change is coming, then maybe we will be able to adapt faster. David Greene,
thanks again for coming on the show. Real Estate Rockstars thank you for
listening. As I always say, if you love the show, go give us a review, if you
hated the show, go give us a review I’ll shed a little tear but I need to know
what you guys want to hear and how to do it.
If there was something that we said that changed your
life, or you think would change someone else’s, please go share it. Tell your
friends about it, tell them to come download the podcast, listen to the
podcast, and we will see you again, listen to you again in a few days. Thanks.